AFL - Betting Systems - Week 5

[GreenValley]

Singing, "Oh Lord, this time you gave me a mountain" I know these systems have been effective in the past as a tool, but the qualifiers this week sure don't look attractive by any means.

System 5....20-7 ATS....0-1 TY
New York
With Garcia back in the line-up they might have a chance to stay within the number. It's the only shot NY has at being somewhat competitive. However keep in mind Dallas has had their way with them in the past going 4-0 the last 2 years winning by 53, 44,18 and 44. Althouh I made a small play on New York but - - - that's why they call it gambling.

System 8....14-4 ATS....0-2 TY
Kansas City
Not sure QB-Kohn is the answer for KC, and unless they can find some leadership, I'm not eager to back them as of yet, with San Jose off a loss at home and possibly angry.

System 9....15-2 ATS....0-1 TY
Tampa Bay
The jury is still out on them so far. Both their wins this year came at the hands of team with a combined record of 1-6 and got ruffed up 2 weeks ago. QB-D'Orazio filled in nicely for Philly and could do it again?

Overall, any plays I make this week will be small. Just don't see the juicy stuff.



BOL
Green Valley

 

[squib]

Singing, "Oh Lord, this time you gave me a mountain" I know these systems have been effective in the past as a tool, but the qualifiers this week sure don't look attractive by any means.

System 5....20-7 ATS....0-1 TY
New York
With Garcia back in the line-up they might have a chance to stay within the number. It's the only shot NY has at being somewhat competitive. However keep in mind Dallas has had their way with them in the past going 4-0 the last 2 years winning by 53, 44,18 and 44. Althouh I made a small play on New York but - - - that's why they call it gambling.

System 8....14-4 ATS....0-2 TY
Kansas City
Not sure QB-Kohn is the answer for KC, and unless they can find some leadership, I'm not eager to back them as of yet, with San Jose off a loss at home and possibly angry.

System 9....15-2 ATS....0-1 TY
Tampa Bay
The jury is still out on them so far. Both their wins this year came at the hands of team with a combined record of 1-6 and got ruffed up 2 weeks ago. QB-D'Orazio filled in nicely for Philly and could do it again?

Overall, any plays I make this week will be small. Just don't see the juicy stuff.



BOL
Green Valley

GV,

I think you missed a system play on #2. Play under on any team after SU win as a dog when total is 110+.

Grand rapids upset Kc last week SU and the total is currently at 110.

Cheers bud

 

[GreenValley]

squib

Way to go squib. The exciting thing about this is that someone out there is actually paying attention. (smile)

Your absolutely correct though. System 2 got by me when I was looking them over for qaulifying situations. So let me add.

System 2....8-32 under L5Y....1-2 under TY
Grand Rapids....under

Having been born and raised in Minneapolis, let me ask. Where abouts is the frozen tundra?


Respectfully,
Green valley

 

[squib]

Way to go squib. The exciting thing about this is that someone out there is actually paying attention. (smile)

Your absolutely correct though. System 2 got by me when I was looking them over for qaulifying situations. So let me add.

System 2....8-32 under L5Y....1-2 under TY
Grand Rapids....under

Having been born and raised in Minneapolis, let me ask. Where abouts is the frozen tundra?


Respectfully,
Green valley

No problem man. I have been following system plays 2-3 since you first posted them. Just waiting until May when system 11-12 come into play.

Good luck with your plays...i will be playing the under but laying off the other plays posted.

Are the totals of 110+ based on opening or closing lines?

 

[squib]

ncaa sweet 16

I am also on the under for the Davidson game, falls into the sweet 16 system.

 

[GreenValley]

squib

For qualifying totals I try and go with what you might call a consensus number.

If a game opens at range of say 109 to 110, but the 110 is an isolated number, then it might get a play from my pocket, but I can't in all conscience ask others to follow if the best they can do when the smoke clears in 109.5 or less.

Should the public massage the number up to 111 or higher then the system would make it a ligitimate play.

These borderline plays are judgment calls on the part of the gambler. He may have other credentials for the total and make his play regardless.




Respectfully,
Green Valley